12/20/2023 0 Comments Scientists finetune odds hitting earth![]() If the asteroid hit the East Coast of the U.S., i t “would pretty much devastate things up and down the coast,” Johnson added. Estimates produced before OSIRIS-REx arrived at the space rock tallied the cumulative probability of a Bennu impact between the years 21 at 1 in 2,700, according to NASA. Planetary defense officer for NASA, Lindley Johnson, predicted that if the Earth was struck by the asteroid, the amount of area destroyed would equal the asteroid’s size one hundred fold, according to the AP. As a result, scientists behind new research now say they’re confident that the asteroid’s total impact probability through 2300 is just 1 in 1,750. Currently, however, NASA’s Near Earth Object website gives between a 1 in 3,850 and. However, they said that based on the data from Osiris-Rex spacecraft, the chances of gravity interfering with its trajectory are slimmer now. Previous estimates gave a 1 in 1,400 chance that this asteroid could strike Earth sometime between 21. Scientists said that the Earth’s gravity could affect Bennu’s orbit and create a collision with the planet in the next two centuries. Scientists say that Bennu will get within close proximity of the planet by 2135. “We shouldn’t be worried about it too much,” Farnocchia said, who was the lead author of the findings, which were published in the Icarus journal. The spacecraft is slated to arrive back to Earth in 2023. Scientists previously said that the odds that Bennu would strike the Earth into 2200 was one-in-2,700, but those figures were adjusted to one-in-1,750 into the year 2300, The Associated Press reported.įarnocchia works with NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory in southern California and told reporters that the Osiris-Rex spacecraft, which landed on Bennu in 2018 to collect samples, has given them a better idea of the asteroid’s future orbital path, according to the wire service. ![]() However, Davide Farnocchia stressed that Earthlings shouldn't be too worried. A NASA scientist said Wednesday that the likelihood of the Bennu asteroid hitting Earth within the next century or two has increased.
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